Fernández Vial vs Estación Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
FVC
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 1
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GAS
2 - 3
FVC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 0
CDP
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
TAL
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ACC
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
JUV
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |