Fernández Vial vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
13º
3º
61
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
FVC
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 0
REN
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 2
LAU
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
FVC
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 0
GVE
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 0
GVE
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIM
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
JOA
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 0
LIM
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |