Fernández Vial vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 0
FVC
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
CDP
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 1
DLI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
FVC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
FVC
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
4 - 3
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 3
TRA
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
JOA
29%
26%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GVE
1 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |