Fernández Vial vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SAU
1 - 0
FVC
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GVE
0 - 1
FVC
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
FVC
2 - 1
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
FVC
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FVC
1 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
IBE
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
SAU
0 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CHG
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
ACC
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
GVE
2 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |