Fermana vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CES
4 - 0
FER
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 1
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 5
ACD
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ACD
3 - 1
CES
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACD
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 0
GRO
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |