Fermana vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.7%
68.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
21.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
29%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
CHI
2 - 1
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FER
3 - 2
FCS
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
TRE
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PES
4 - 2
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIC
2 - 0
COS
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
RAV
2 - 1
VIC
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
VIC
6 - 0
EMP
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 1
VIC
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VIC
3 - 1
ALZ
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |