Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
IMO
23%
30%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SSS
3 - 1
ASG
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RIM
3 - 1
SSS
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SSS
3 - 0
ABN
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
SSS
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 1
VIR
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |