Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
MES
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 2
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FON
3 - 1
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
TER
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASG
0 - 2
SSS
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 2
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
SSS
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |