Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GIU
2 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
MAC
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
FER
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
MAT
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 2
SSS
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
4 - 0
JES
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TER
2 - 2
SSS
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
CIV
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |