Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
36%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 2
FER
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
SSS
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 0
CHI
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 1
SSS
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAS
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
SSS
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |