Fermana vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
RIM
0 - 0
FER
73%
17%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FER
0 - 4
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 2
VIS
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
USF
1 - 1
SOR
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SOR
1 - 2
PAD
31%
30%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 1
RIM
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |