Fermana vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
TRE
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PES
4 - 2
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
FER
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NAP
4 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FCS
2 - 2
COS
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
RAV
4 - 0
FCS
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 0
TRE
21%
26%
54%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 1
CES
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 1
FCS
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |