Fermana vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
REC
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 4
REC
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REC
0 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
3 - 0
REC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |