Fermana vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
GIU
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ISE
1 - 0
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
MAT
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
REC
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REC
1 - 1
CHI
32%
27%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 2
REC
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REC
0 - 3
JES
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |