Fermana vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
FER
81%
13%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
SIE
24%
25%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 2
REG
21%
26%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CES
2 - 1
PON
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 3
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASG
3 - 0
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |