Fermana vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TER
3 - 2
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PON
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
FER
81%
13%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 1
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
PIS
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 0
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 1
PIS
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
PIS
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |