Fermana vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FER
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIS
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PIN
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
5 - 1
PIN
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |