Fermana vs Olympia Agnonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
FER
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
CIV
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olympia Agnonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 1
JES
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 0
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
0 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
OLY
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |