Fermana vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
3 - 3
VIT
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 1
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
FER
88%
9%
2%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 1
FER
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 1
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PRG
6 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
TIF
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |