Fermana vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
3 - 1
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
CAR
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
0 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
CES
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 2
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 2
RAV
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 0
MAT
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |