Fermana vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
18%
23%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
OLY
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
FER
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAT
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |