Fermana vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
MON
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
FER
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
MAT
47%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
AVE
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 4
MAT
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |