Fermana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
FER
81%
13%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
SIE
24%
25%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GRO
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 3
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 2
TER
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |