Fermana vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
VIS
43%
29%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
IMO
3 - 1
FER
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 0
IMO
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IMO
2 - 1
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IMO
1 - 3
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 3
IMO
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |