Fermana vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ASS
4 - 1
FER
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAL
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ALZ
2 - 2
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FER
1 - 0
CES
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
VIC
4 - 0
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
GEN
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
GEN
1 - 0
ALZ
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |