Fermana vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
TER
4 - 1
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FER
2 - 0
AVE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
TAR
0 - 2
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FER
0 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SAS
0 - 2
CRO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIS
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
3 - 1
PAT
73%
16%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
CRO
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 1
CRO
67%
19%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |