Fermana vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 5
FER
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ISE
0 - 0
FER
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
GIU
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ISE
1 - 1
FCC
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
REC
1 - 1
FCC
31%
28%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 0
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |