Fermana vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
CAR
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
0 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
ASG
32%
27%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
FCS
16%
26%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 0
FAN
48%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 2
MAN
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CES
3 - 0
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 2
IMO
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |