Fermana vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 3
GIU
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
6 - 3
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 2
CIV
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 2
FAN
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 0
FCC
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
FAN
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |