Fermana vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ACD
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CES
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |