Fermana vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
ASG
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 1
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ABN
1 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
ABN
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAD
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAD
3 - 0
POR
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
PAD
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |