Fermana vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAV
5 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
FER
0 - 0
RAV
27%
28%
46%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
FER
57%
25%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SSS
3 - 2
FER
57%
25%
17%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
RAV
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PIZ
3 - 0
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 0
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 2
PAD
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |