Fermana vs Bojano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIS
2 - 2
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
AMI
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
OLY
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CIV
0 - 0
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASB
0 - 3
ISE
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
3 - 0
ASB
84%
12%
4%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ASB
0 - 3
REC
10%
22%
67%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GIU
5 - 0
ASB
78%
15%
7%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASB
0 - 3
ANC
10%
18%
73%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |