Fermana vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
FER
2 - 2
AVE
29%
29%
43%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
FER
2 - 1
VIS
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIR
3 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 0
GIU
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
RIM
4 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 2
SOR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 2
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPA
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |