Fermana vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FER
2 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
ACI
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 0
SOR
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
ACI
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
TER
2 - 2
BEN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |