Fermana vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
6.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
23.7%
68.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
22.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
29.8%
0-2
18%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
FER
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 1
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALZ
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1999 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
EMP
0 - 0
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ATL
0 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1999 |
ATL
3 - 2
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |