Fermana vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
FER
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
FER
1 - 0
VIR
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 1
VIR
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
GIU
0 - 0
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 1
USF
39%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
CTT
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |