Fermana vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
PES
15%
24%
62%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
41%
28%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
0 - 3
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |