Fermana vs Amiternina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
43%
26%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
FVE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GIU
1 - 2
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 2
ISE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FER
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Amiternina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 2
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
AMI
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 3
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
AMI
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 2
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |