Fermana vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
ROM
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
VIS
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
FER
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
CIV
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALF
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |