Fermana vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
CES
18%
26%
57%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
REG
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
REG
5 - 2
IMO
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
REG
3 - 1
VIS
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
REG
17%
25%
57%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |