Fermana vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 2
MAN
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 1
MAN
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 1
MAN
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
USD
87%
10%
4%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |