Fermana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RIM
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 3
TRI
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
MOD
1 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
IMO
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RAV
1 - 1
CES
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CES
0 - 1
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RIM
1 - 1
CES
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CES
1 - 3
SSS
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |