Ferlach vs Völkermarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
16º
4º
42
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAC
0 - 2
FLC
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
AUK
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SVJ
0 - 2
FLC
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
FEL
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Völkermarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 3
KAC
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUK
3 - 5
VOL
47%
22%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
SVJ
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 4
VOL
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
GMD
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |