Ferlach vs SV Villach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
2 - 3
FLC
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FLC
3 - 1
KUH
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GMD
1 - 1
FLC
60%
21%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FLC
3 - 0
ANB
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BWS
1 - 0
FLC
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SVV
1 - 2
KUH
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANB
4 - 1
SVV
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MSA
2 - 2
SVV
49%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SVV
2 - 1
TRE
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
8 - 1
SVV
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |