Ferlach vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 4
FLC
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 3
SPI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 5
FLC
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 1
KUH
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KMD
1 - 3
FLC
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
TRE
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
WOL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 2
MIC
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MIC
3 - 3
SPI
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
MIC
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |