Ferlach vs St. Veit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+174%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
14º
13º
41
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
KAC
0 - 0
FLC
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FLC
3 - 1
SVJ
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
DIG
3 - 1
FLC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FLC
1 - 2
VOL
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEN
3 - 1
FLC
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Veit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
SVE
3 - 0
SPI
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 3
SVE
68%
16%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
KLA
0 - 2
SVE
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
SVE
1 - 4
KAC
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
SVJ
3 - 0
SVE
43%
21%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |