Ferlach vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FLC
3 - 1
SPI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
FLC
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SCL
1 - 1
FLC
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FLC
0 - 0
KAC
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AUK
1 - 2
FLC
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
5 - 0
ALL
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SKA
4 - 0
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
HAR
9%
17%
74%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 1
WOL
7%
15%
78%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 0
SUT
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |