Ferlach vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SPI
3 - 1
FLC
19%
22%
58%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FLC
2 - 0
VOL
34%
25%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
FLC
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FLC
9 - 1
SVV
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
2 - 3
FLC
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BLE
0 - 2
VOL
28%
25%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SVV
1 - 2
BLE
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BLE
1 - 1
KUH
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ANB
3 - 0
BLE
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BLE
1 - 1
MSA
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |