Ferlach vs Sankt Michael ob Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SVJ
2 - 2
FLC
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FLC
1 - 1
VOL
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GMD
2 - 3
FLC
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
0 - 2
FLC
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLC
4 - 2
SVK
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sankt Michael ob Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
AZS
0 - 6
LEN
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SVK
1 - 4
AZS
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
AZS
1 - 1
KAC
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
KMD
0 - 0
AZS
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AZS
3 - 4
MSA
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |